AlphaKing.com
Weekly Trend and Trade Review	December 11, 2009
Trader Talk The short term momentum oscillators remain negative, non-confirming the bullish stance of the AlphaKing Trading indicator for the NASDAQ (while the AK Trading Indicator for the Russell 2000 remains negative.) The accumulation/distribution profile remains negative, with every rally of late run on decreasing volume. The leadership profile remains positive, with 348 new 52 week highs, versus 60 new 52 week lows. The 4% rule remains positive, confirmed with bullish Federal Reserve policy. The VXO volatility indicator closed the week at 20.5, showing no change on last weeks return to utter complacency. We continue to await the breakdown that would signal the Elliott Wave 3 bear market crash run has begun. Traditional seasonal trends have us looking for a year end rally. The Presidential cycle suggests a grim 2010. The Benner-Fibonacci cycle is fast approaching the end of the bullish period, with a crashing bear going forward expected into 2011. The AlphaKing combination cycle sees a rally into early March. Summary: Big money is made in the stock market when all investment ducks line up in the same direction to power a trend to the next level. Such prolonged hard trend moves are followed by prolonged periods of sideways churn as a set-up for the next big money making opportunity. The current assessment shows a very splintered market, where many critically important sectors and indexes are pointed south, while others continue to struggle north. All of these investment ducks must line up in the same direction for the stock market to go anywhere meaningful, and the splintered nature of the current market is the prime reason for the sideways churn over the past three months. History would suggest the next big hard trend move is fast approaching, and the number one job of investors is to make sure their investments are aligned in the same direction as the investment ducks once they begin their breakout or breakdown run. Making money from the current technical set-up is as simple as that, and the launch phase of the next hard trend move can come as early as next week. 401K investors should be invested in money market funds. Have a great weekend! Kevin Wilde, Chief Trading Strategist, AlphaKing.com Portfolio Update Archive Trades: Index Portfolio: No new trades GrQ/4 ETF Portfolio: No new trades GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio: No new trades GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio: No new trades Performance: Portfolio Long Only Long/Short Index Portfolio 2009* 36.8% 10.6% Annual 1973-2008* 13.1% 19.4% GrQ/4 Portfolio 2009* 19.8% 16.2% Annual 2000-2008* 13.0% 21.1% GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio 2009* 0.8% 24.4% Annual 1999-2008* 6.5% 22.8% GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio 2009** 26.6% N/A Annual 2001-2008** 15.6% N/A GrQ/25 M100 NASDAQ S&P500 DJIA * Compounded results before commissions, dividends, or interest income during those periods when portfolio invested in money market funds or short. Back-tested data used to compile results prior to 2004, actual trades since. ** Performance tracked by Marketocracy.com, and results include commissions of $0.05 per share per trade. Trade the AlphaKing Portfolios at FolioFN.com Current Positions: Index Portfolio* Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 27.46 (4.55%) GrQ/4 Portfolio* Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss Short XHB 11/12/2009 15.28 14.60 4.45% Short IBB 11/12/2009 78.71 79.04 (0.42%) Short EWJ 11/12/2009 9.54 9.94 (4.19%) Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.48 (6.53%) GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio* Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss Short ILMN 11/12/2009 33.26 27.09 18.55% Short CHA 11/13/2009 45.57 43.00 5.64% Short YHOO 11/12/2009 16.08 15.74 2.11% Short AMAT 11/12/2009 13.02 13.38 (2.77%) Short SHLD 11/12/2009 70.72 74.32 (5.09%) Short SA 11/13/2009 23.11 24.31 (5.19%) Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.48 (6.53%) Long QID 09/30/2009 22.86 20.48 (10.41%) GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio** Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 23.44 (3.97%) Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 23.44 (3.97%) Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 23.44 (3.97%) Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 23.44 (3.97%) Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 27.46 (4.55%) Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 27.46 (4.55%) Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 27.46 (4.55%) Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 27.46 (4.55%) Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.48 (6.53%) Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.48 (6.53%) Long QID 09/30/2009 22.86 20.48 (10.41%) Long QID 09/30/2009 22.86 20.48 (10.41%) Cash x 13