The major stock indexes opened higher today and then traded sideways the remainder of the day, with modest gains going into the close run on mildly higher volume.
Officially, the Dow industrials advanced 0.3% on NYSE volume of 5.0 billion shares, while the NASDAQ rose 1.0% on 1.9 billion. The leadership profile remains positive, with 508 stocks making new highs versus 70 making new lows.
The short term momentum oscillators are on the cusp of turning positive - though remain negative for now, currently non-confirming the bullish stance of the AlphaKing Trading Indicator for the NASDAQ (while the Russell 2000 AK Trading Indicator remains negative.) We have no new trades at this time.
The stock indexes have moved into the make or break position. Any further strength going forward will trigger a buy signal in numerous technical indicators, including the currently bearish AK Trading indictor for the Russell 2000. Thus the bears have to step forward right here right now to prevent the year-end rally run the bulls have been pushing for.
We do believe a harsh reversal should land tomorrow, though we will follow the AK Trading Indicator for the Russell, and if it turns positive tomorrow then we will use a dollar cost averaging approach to ease out of our shorts positions and into a portfolio of long positions. Tomorrow should be an interesting day, which will lead smack into FED decision Wednesday, and thus this week should be quite volatile and potentially very telling as to what happens next in regards to the future trend. Till tomorrow…
401K investors should be invested in a money market fund.
Kevin Wilde, Chief Trading Strategist AlphaKing.com.