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Daily Trend and Trade Review


December 16, 2009


Trader Talk

Sellers jumped on board positive early action once again today, with a mixed close run on higher volume on the NASDAQ and lower on the NYSE.

Officially, the Dow industrials fell 0.1% on NYSE volume of 5.4 billion shares, while the NASDAQ rose 0.3% on 2.0 billion. The leadership profile remains positive, with 540 stocks making new highs versus 83 making new lows.

The short term momentum oscillators remain negative for now, non-confirming the bullish stance of the AlphaKing Trading Indicator for the NASDAQ (while the Russell 2000 AK Trading Indicator remains negative.) We have no new trades at this time.

There is a ferocious battle quietly taking place as the bulls try to squeeze the bears early in the trading day while the bears keep stepping forward to push the rally attempts back, all creating a very nervous yin and yang trading environment that essentially goes no where.

So far neither side has landed the killer blow, but that surely is what we are facing from such prolonged technical gyrations at such massively important levels. The sideways churn is either a base from which the next major rally will be launched, or a major top from which the next down-leg of the bear market will be born, though so far it remains impossible to tell which side is going to land the big win. The close on Friday remains extremely important as to what happens next.

401K investors should be invested in a money market fund.

Kevin Wilde, Chief Trading Strategist AlphaKing.com.

Portfolio Update Archive


Trades:

Index Portfolio: No new trades

GrQ/4 ETF Portfolio: No new trades

GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio: No new trades

GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio: No new trades


Performance:

Portfolio Long Only Long/Short
Index Portfolio 2009* 36.8% 6.5%
Annual 1973-2008* 13.1% 19.4%
GrQ/4 Portfolio 2009* 19.8% 15.1%
Annual 2000-2008* 13.0% 21.1%
GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio 2009* 0.8% 23.3%
Annual 1999-2008* 6.5% 22.8%
GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio 2009** 24.9% N/A
Annual 2001-2008** 15.6% N/A


GrQ/25 M100 NASDAQ S&P500 DJIA

* Compounded results before commissions, dividends, or interest income during those periods when portfolio invested in money market funds or short. Back-tested data used to compile results prior to 2004, actual trades since.
** Performance tracked by Marketocracy.com, and results include commissions of $0.05 per share per trade.

Trade the AlphaKing Portfolios at FolioFN.com

Current Positions:

Index Portfolio*
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 26.44 (8.10%)

GrQ/4 Portfolio*
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Short XHB 11/12/2009 15.28 14.93 2.29%
Short IBB 11/12/2009 78.71 79.02 (0.39%)
Short EWJ 11/12/2009 9.54 10.03 (5.14%)
Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.40 (6.89%)

GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio*
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Short ILMN 11/12/2009 33.26 27.91 16.09%
Short CHA 11/13/2009 45.57 42.47 6.80%
Short YHOO 11/12/2009 16.08 15.79 1.80%
Short AMAT 11/12/2009 13.02 13.59 (4.38%)
Short SA 11/13/2009 23.11 24.45 (5.80%)
Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.40 (6.89%)
Short SHLD 11/12/2009 70.72 75.73 (7.08%)
Long QID 09/30/2009 22.86 20.40 (10.76%)

GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio**
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.40 (6.89%)
Long QID 10/26/2009 21.91 20.40 (6.89%)
Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 22.55 (7.62%)
Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 22.55 (7.62%)
Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 22.55 (7.62%)
Long MZZ 11/13/2009 24.41 22.55 (7.62%)
Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 26.44 (8.10%)
Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 26.44 (8.10%)
Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 26.44 (8.10%)
Long TWM 11/12/2009 28.77 26.44 (8.10%)
Long QID 09/30/2009 22.86 20.40 (10.76%)
Long QID 09/30/2009 22.86 20.40 (10.76%)
Cash x 13

Results are tabulated using the opening price the day following a new trading signal, and exclude commissions, dividends, or interest paid on cash balances during sell periods. Stock prices highlighted in blue are temporary - using the end of day quote the day a new buy or sell signal is generated - with the final price adjusted the following trading day when the opening price is available. Past performance is no guarantee of future success

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