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Daily Trend and Trade Review


January 5, 2010


Trader Talk

The major stock indexes traded back and forth the unchanged level today, with a mixed close run on increasing volume.

Officially, the Dow Industrials fell a scant 0.1% on NYSE volume of 5.7 billion shares, while the NASDAQ rose an even scanter 0.01% on 2.4 billion. The leadership profile continues to accelerate its positive tone, with 754 stocks making new highs versus 76 making new lows.

The short term momentum oscillators remain positive, confirming the bullish stance of the AlphaKing Trading Indicator. We have no new trades at this time.

The good news today was the return of many traders who had previously been sitting things out - as volume starts to expand - as well as an increasing number of stocks making new highs - which means stocks themselves are rallying even as the stock indexes meander. The other good news is the absence of bad news, as the trend remains the bulls to lose till we see signs of heavy volume distribution selling, and that so far remains missing in action.

While risk of a reversal remains high - and will remain high till we see a correction that sticks - stocks have a lot of potential to run before cycles turn down going into a potential March peak. The bears would suffer a royal pounding under such a scenario, which remains the most likely outcome while heavy selling remains MIA, and a parabolic melt-up advance remains very much on the trading cards.

401K investors should have ½ of their portfolio invested in a stock index, or aggressive growth, mutual fund, with the other ½ remaining in a money market fund.

The Index portfolio is ½ invested in QQQQ with the other ½ remaining in cash.

Kevin Wilde, Chief Trading Strategist AlphaKing.com.

Portfolio Update Archive


Trades:

Index Portfolio: No new trades

GrQ/4 ETF Portfolio: No new trades

GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio: No new trades

GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio: No new trades


Performance:

Portfolio Long Only Long/Short
Index Portfolio 2010* 0.8% 0.8%
Annual 1973-2009* 13.6% 18.8%
GrQ/4 Portfolio 2010* 1.8% 1.8%
Annual 2000-2009* 13.6% 20.3%
GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio 2010* 1.9% 1.9%
Annual 1999-2009* 5.8% 22.3%
GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio 2010** 2.1% N/A
Annual 2001-2009** 16.0% N/A


GrQ/25 M100 NASDAQ S&P500 DJIA

* Compounded results before commissions, dividends, or interest income during those periods when portfolio invested in money market funds or short. Back-tested data used to compile results prior to 2004, actual trades since.
** Performance tracked by Marketocracy.com, and results include commissions of $0.05 per share per trade.

Trade the AlphaKing Portfolios at FolioFN.com

Current Positions:

Index Portfolio*
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Long QQQQ 12/31/2009 46.25 46.42 0.37%

GrQ/4 Portfolio*
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Long EWS 12/24/2009 11.35 11.84 4.32%
Long IYM 12/24/2009 60.63 62.35 2.84%
Cash x 2

GrQ/8 Hedge Fund Portfolio*
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Long FIG 12/29/2009 4.64 5.14 10.78%
Long RYAAY 12/30/2009 26.80 27.62 3.06%
Long CELG 12/24/2009 56.61 55.09 (2.69%)
Long EVVV 12/24/2009 13.77 13.14 (4.58%)
Cash x 4

GrQ/25 Small Cap Portfolio**
Position Entry Date Entry Current Profit/Loss
Long KFN 12/29/2009 5.30 6.56 23.77%
Long CQP 12/24/2009 11.80 13.99 18.56%
Long THC 12/30/2009 5.26 6.00 14.07%
Long NM 12/24/2009 6.18 6.70 8.41%
Long UMC 12/29/2009 3.76 3.99 6.12%
Long INSU 12/30/2009 22.10 22.85 3.39%
Long KLIC 12/30/2009 5.35 5.48 2.43%
Long JBLU 12/24/2009 5.73 5.86 2.27%
Long GFF 12/24/2009 12.34 12.46 0.97%
Long EV 12/30/2009 30.62 30.80 0.59%
Long SMOD 12/24/2009 6.70 6.58 (1.79%)
Long PLAB 12/29/2009 4.50 4.39 (2.44%)
Long FRZ 12/30/2009 4.44 3.99 (10.14%)
Cash x 12

Results are tabulated using the opening price the day following a new trading signal, and exclude commissions, dividends, or interest paid on cash balances during sell periods. Stock prices highlighted in blue are temporary - using the end of day quote the day a new buy or sell signal is generated - with the final price adjusted the following trading day when the opening price is available. Past performance is no guarantee of future success

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