AlphaKing - Tour Charts

AlphaKing.com Free Stock Trading Signals and Fundamental Ratings

Last Update Thu Jul-24-08 at 6:33 pm

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AlphaKing Tour: Charts

Welcome to AlphaKing.com. Below is a brief summary of the important components shown on the Chart page. The technical and fundamental opinions expressed are based on the results of the massive AlphaKing research project, which is aimed at finding the most effective combination of investment elements that have proven to have out-performance value over the long term.

Graph Style: Pie Chart | Bell Curve
Fundamental Chart for NGPS

Trade Stats for NGPS
Number Of Trades	16
Hit Rate	63%
Average Gain	83.20%
Average Loss	6.13%
Total Net Profit/Loss	7169.37%
Number of Trades Per Year	2.4
Current Trade: Hold

There are three information graphs on the fundamental row of the Chart page. The graph on the left shows the overall AlphaKing rating of a company's fundamentals, and ranked against all other stocks in the database via a quantitative scoring process. The pie chart snapshot of the stock's ranking can be changed to a bell-curve view by clicking on the link at the top of the graph, and vice versa. If the company meets all criteria the stock will be labeled as an AlphaKing. Only the top 20% or so of the 4200+ stocks in our database have the necessary fundamentals to warrant an AlphaKing status, which corresponds to the approximately the top 10% of all stocks traded in the US.

NGPS is our example stock for this tour of the Chart page, and is labeled has having Excellent Fundamentals, as being an AlphaKing, with a top 10% ranking. Having a top overall score and incredibly impressive fundamentals do not guarantee a profit - if only investing was that easy! - but our research does show that stocks with the best overall fundamentals usually provide the best returns when the stock market delivers on a buy signal and goes on an intermediate term advance.

The second, middle graph highlights five key elements that showcase a company's fundamental health, including the AlphaKing opinion of each of those elements. How much time do investors and traders spend sifting through fundamental data only to be left at the end of the process no closer to knowing what is or is not a good fundamental situation? The two graph boxes shown in the fundamental row of our Chart page state clearly what AlphaKing thinks of a company's fundamentals, which takes the subjective guesswork out of such analysis. A Below Average or Dreadful rating does not in itself result in a poor overall rating. Indeed, NovAtel's (NGPS) overall rating is deemed Excellent, despite a Dreadful rating in the Revenue Value category. Our results show the fastest growing companies, with the best value characteristics, along with a strong financial health rating, and solid institutional support are the best stocks to own during stock market intermediate rallies. A company's fundamental profile can be expected to change over time as the company's prospects improve or deteriorate.

The information box on the right on that top row on the Chart page shows the Trading Stats for the stock being analysed, using the AlphaKing Trading Signal to generate entry and exit points. The Alphaking Trading Signal will be discussed below. The Trading Stats information box provides an overview of the successes and failures of the AlphaKing Trading Signal for each stock in the database. It highlights the number of trades for the stock being analysed since 2000, the percentage of those trades that made a profit, the average profit and loss on those trades, the percentage overall gain, and the number of trades on average per year. AlphaKing is a trend-following system that aims to outperform over the long term by having an average profit on the winners significantly greater than the average loss on the failed trades, rather than by securing an incredibly accurate prediction rate. No one can accurately forecast a stock, or stock market movement over the long term.

The trading stats shown are averages. Any one trade can be significantly higher or less than the returns generated in the past. Any stock can fall 50% or more on a bad news event, no matter how great a company looks fundamentally, or how well it has performed in the past. While the act of trading is very easy, making money trading over the long term is very difficult to achieve. We developed AlphaKing to tip the odds of victory in our favor in every aspect that we could find and test, but even if we are successful over the long term, we fully expect the ride of individual trades to be bumpy and volatile. The Trading Stat box shows how these trading ups and downs merge together over the years, and offer a road-map of expectations, though past performance is no guarantee of future success.

The bottom part of the trade stat box shows the Current Trade opinion - Buy, Sell, Hold, or Cash - as based on the AlphaKing Trading indicator that day. A Hold means a stock issued a buy signal in the past and is currently being held until the next Sell signal. Once sold, the Trade recommendation will highlight Cash until the next Buy signal is generated.

The main stock chart on the Chart page is split into two portions. The top of the chart shows the current and past buy and sell cycles of the AlphaKing Trading Signal, with green portions representing bull-rally periods, while red represents bear-corrective-sell cycles. These are trend-following signals, and not predictive in nature. The red and green arrows on the chart represent buy and sell points, and correspond to the green and red crossovers of the AlphaKing Trading Indicator. A sell signal is not a forecast of a stock headed lower, rather it is an indication that the company is currently shy of rally-mode, and that Cash is the best place for such waffling times. On occasion, the AlphaKing Trading signal will enter and exit trade early or late, and other times it will enter and exit near-perfectly. It is the amount of net profit over the long term that defines success or failure, rather than the placement of the entry and exit arrows.

Date	Signal	Price	Trade Profit/Loss	$1000 (Long Only)
9-Mar-06	Last	$33.55	16.21%	$72,694
7-Nov-05	Buy	$28.87		$62,553
22-Sep-05	Sell	$26.80	21.43%	$62,553
20-May-05	Buy	$22.07		$51,513
20-Jan-05	Sell	$20.98	104.48%	$51,513
15-Sep-04	Buy	$10.26		$25,192
12-Jul-04	Sell	$12.55	1.80%	$25,192
8-Jun-04	Buy	$12.78		$25,654
29-Apr-04	Sell	$12.10	24.10%	$25,654
22-Apr-04	Buy	$9.75		$20,671
20-Apr-04	Sell	$9.95	4.33%	$20,671
8-Apr-04	Buy	$10.40		$21,606
8-Mar-04	Sell	$11.65	6.05%	$21,606
4-Mar-04	Buy	$12.40		$22,997
3-Mar-04	Sell	$12.73	371.48%	$22,997
19-Mar-03	Buy	$2.70		$4,878
27-Jan-03	Sell	$2.59	0.78%	$4,878
24-Jan-03	Buy	$2.57		$4,840
19-Dec-02	Sell	$2.15	6.52%	$4,840
17-Dec-02	Buy	$2.30		$5,178
16-Dec-02	Sell	$2.45	25.64%	$5,178
25-Oct-02	Buy	$1.95		$4,121
31-Jan-02	Sell	$2.42	42.35%	$4,121
2-Nov-01	Buy	$1.70		$2,895
18-Jun-01	Sell	$1.71	8.06%	$2,895
2-May-01	Buy	$1.86		$3,149
15-Sep-00	Sell	$4.50	10.00%	$3,149
18-Aug-00	Buy	$5.00		$3,499
28-Jul-00	Sell	$3.62	11.38%	$3,499
15-Jun-00	Buy	$3.25		$3,141
31-Mar-00	Sell	$5.12	214.11%	$3,141
10-Aug-99	Buy	$1.63		$1,000

The final information box published to the right of the stock chart on the Chart page shows the actual trading dates corresponding to buy and sell crossovers of the AlphaKing Trading Signal for the stock being analysed, along with entry and exit prices and performance of those trades. Traders and investors currently using traditional technical indicators to help time their trade entry and exit are more or less alone in their quest to generate profits over the long term. They sift through the hundreds of commonly used technical indicators using technical analysis software or by visiting charting websites. These indicators, when tested, provide poor returns over the long term. The AlphaKing Trading indicator has proven in testing to provide better returns over the long term than those traditional indicators, and the trade tracking information box on the Chart page highlights the successes and failures of those trades.

It is rare for competing charting websites and technical analysis software to provide trackable performance profiles to help gauge what indicators and signals a trader or investor should be following. That leaves all investors and traders having to spend a massive amount of time on their own testing, most of which will lead to many years of losses before they locate and settle on an entry/exit system that works well enough to drive performance into the black. We have done that research, have found what we believe to be the best, and present that information in an easy to understand and track format. What traders and investors do with that information is up to them.

Markets Open, Awaiting Close Before Updating

One important item shown near the top right hand corner of the Chart page is the Download Status line. The AlphaKing system currently uses end of date pricing data to generate signals, and we have to wait for the stock market to close before beginning the pricing download. That download occurs once per day, and is usually completed before 7pm eastern time. Once the download is completed for that day it will be highlighted on the Download Status line shown in the top right hand corner.While we strive for accuracy and efficiency in everything we do at AlphaKing, the stock price data is provided by a third party and as such is outside our control. We will work diligently to fix any errors should they occur.

Please take a moment to read how trading performance results are tabulated, as well as the disclaimer. Stock trading is a very difficult, often costly pursuit, and only those traders and investors who understand and accept those risks should consider buying and selling stocks.

Results are tabulated using the opening price the day following a new trading signal, and exclude commissions, dividends, or interest paid on cash balances during sell periods. Stock prices highlighted in blue are temporary - using the end of day quote the day a new buy or sell signal is generated - with the final price adjusted the following trading day when the opening price is available. Past performance is no guarantee of future success

The AlphaKing.com website, and the emails we send, are for information and educational purposes only. Trading stocks is a high risk investment strategy. The information is neither a recommendation to, nor an offer to buy or sell securities or stocks. Traders should do their own due diligence research before acting on any financial information, whatever the source of that information, including the AlphaKing.com website and newsletters. If you act on any of the information furnished by AlphaKing.com, either on our website, email newsletter, or anywhere else, you do so at your own risk. Read the Full Disclaimer.